Click here for a paper by Giacomo Benedetto on the collapse of the youth vote for Berluscnoni and the Left in Italy. The Italian centre-left came away from the elections of February 2013 with just 3% of the votes among 18-24 year olds. 46% of the same group gave their votes to Beppe Grillo's Five Star Movement.
Click here for a paper by the CEP's Giacomo Benedetto on the multiannual budget agreement reached by the EU governments on 8 February.
The final poll for Tecnè also shows a majority for the Senate with the PD+SEL alliance winning a plurality in every region except Veneto and Sicily. Ingroia's Civil Revolution would get no seats because it would not reach the Senate threshold of 8% of the vote in any region. Grillo's 5-star movement gains 5% fewer votes than for the Chamber presumably due to the fact that the under-25s cannot vote in Senate elections and Grillo's following is youthful. 37% of those polled are undecided.
RC (Ingroia): 4.8% and zero seats
PD+SEL+SVP (Bersani): 35.4% and 157 seats
Per Monti: 14.6% and 36 seats
M5* (Grillo): 13.4% and 29 seats
PdL+Lega (Berlusconi): 28.0% (83 seats)
Italy's elections are on 24-25 February. SWG has just published the final opinion poll allowed by law. (Opinion polls are banned in the last two weeks.) The poll shows the following result for the lower house of parliament: an overall majority for the centre-left (PD and SEL) based on it having a plurality of the vote. Monti reaches 14%, Grillo 18%, Berlusconi and the Lega Nord 25% and Ingroia's alliance of far left plus anti-corruption liberals weighs in at 4%. However, the number of don't knows and undecided is still very high and could make the difference:
|Ingroia - RC||4.1||19|
|Bersani - PD||29.5||303|
|Vendola - SEL||3.6||37|
|Monti - SC||9||41|
|Casini - UDC||2.7||12|
|Fini - FLI||1||5|
|Grillo - M5*||18.8||86|
|Berlusconi - PdL||19.5||90|
|Maroni - Lega||5.2||24|