This Blog will feature opinions on European affairs by members of the Centre for European Politics. Comments are welcome in English.

The collapse of the youth vote for Berlusconi and the Left in Italy

Click here for a paper by Giacomo Benedetto on the collapse of the youth vote for Berluscnoni and the Left in Italy. The Italian centre-left came away from the elections of February 2013 with just 3% of the votes among 18-24 year olds. 46% of the same group gave their votes to Beppe Grillo's Five Star Movement.

 

Posted on Sunday, March 3, 2013 at 12:25PM by Registered CommenterDr Giacomo Benedetto | CommentsPost a Comment

Understanding the EU Budget Deal

Click here for a paper by the CEP's Giacomo Benedetto on the multiannual budget agreement reached by the EU governments on 8 February.

 

Posted on Friday, February 15, 2013 at 12:21PM by Registered CommenterDr Giacomo Benedetto | CommentsPost a Comment

Academic titles in Germany and the curse of plagiarism

Posted on Tuesday, February 12, 2013 at 10:56AM by Registered CommenterDr Giacomo Benedetto | CommentsPost a Comment

Italy: final opinion poll for the Senate

The final poll for Tecnè also shows a majority for the Senate with the PD+SEL alliance winning a plurality in every region except Veneto and Sicily. Ingroia's Civil Revolution would get no seats because it would not reach the Senate threshold of 8% of the vote in any region. Grillo's 5-star movement gains 5% fewer votes than for the Chamber presumably due to the fact that the under-25s cannot vote in Senate elections and Grillo's following is youthful. 37% of those polled are undecided.

RC (Ingroia): 4.8% and zero seats

PD+SEL+SVP (Bersani): 35.4% and 157 seats

Per Monti: 14.6% and 36 seats

M5* (Grillo): 13.4% and 29 seats

PdL+Lega (Berlusconi): 28.0% (83 seats)

UNDECIDED: 37%

Posted on Sunday, February 10, 2013 at 02:56PM by Registered CommenterDr Giacomo Benedetto | CommentsPost a Comment

Italian elections 2013: Last opinion poll for the Chamber

Italy's elections are on 24-25 February. SWG has just published the final opinion poll allowed by law. (Opinion polls are banned in the last two weeks.) The poll shows the following result for the lower house of parliament: an overall majority for the centre-left (PD and SEL) based on it having a plurality of the vote. Monti reaches 14%, Grillo 18%, Berlusconi and the Lega Nord 25% and Ingroia's alliance of far left plus anti-corruption liberals weighs in at 4%. However, the number of don't knows and undecided is still very high and could make the difference:


% seats
Ingroia - RC 4.1 19



Bersani - PD 29.5 303
Vendola - SEL 3.6 37



Monti - SC 9 41
Casini - UDC 2.7 12
Fini - FLI 1 5



Grillo - M5* 18.8 86



Berlusconi - PdL 19.5 90
Maroni - Lega 5.2 24


Overseas
12
Val d'Aosta
1
TOTAL
630
Posted on Sunday, February 10, 2013 at 02:45PM by Registered CommenterDr Giacomo Benedetto | Comments4 Comments